Description

This analysis provides a forecast of TON11419 prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2026-02-01 1.021715 1.155268 1.300793 1.471312 1.665871 1.881202 2.137949
2026-02-08 0.791980 0.968135 1.176525 1.441990 1.772268 2.171072 2.691279
2026-02-15 0.679189 0.875800 1.121915 1.454166 1.893373 2.457367 3.241776
2026-02-22 0.593669 0.799071 1.068170 1.448963 1.977887 2.692333 3.740223
2026-03-01 0.523957 0.731459 1.014083 1.430512 2.034187 2.886206 4.195261
2026-03-08 0.458724 0.661036 0.946083 1.381211 2.036161 2.997135 4.535829
2026-03-15 0.417170 0.618995 0.912391 1.375218 2.096700 3.194462 5.021814
2026-03-22 0.399577 0.609774 0.924675 1.437444 2.264415 3.568021 5.822172
2026-03-29 0.368636 0.576778 0.897075 1.433649 2.325829 3.777827 6.376606
2026-04-05 0.347112 0.556198 0.886304 1.454583 2.427666 4.060938 7.083628
2026-04-12 0.319897 0.523810 0.853349 1.434950 2.458032 4.224627 7.596667
2026-04-19 0.295261 0.493421 0.820783 1.412296 2.479733 4.373333 8.096071
2026-04-26 0.268561 0.459344 0.782530 1.382447 2.497293 4.537483 8.687839
2026-05-03 0.244546 0.428102 0.746969 1.355139 2.519313 4.718006 9.349140
2026-05-10 0.229269 0.410651 0.733671 1.366532 2.614185 5.045830 10.349361
2026-05-17 0.213368 0.390433 0.713180 1.361662 2.676089 5.315208 11.265066
2026-05-24 0.197545 0.368807 0.687874 1.344394 2.710510 5.531943 12.096814
2026-05-31 0.179854 0.341992 0.650160 1.298247 2.679798 5.608447 12.625124
2026-06-07 0.168617 0.326672 0.633274 1.292637 2.733527 5.871049 13.619018
2026-06-14 0.165237 0.326562 0.646399 1.350882 2.931932 6.475655 15.517845
2026-06-21 0.155753 0.313232 0.631468 1.347330 2.992120 6.774260 16.709530
2026-06-28 0.149263 0.305496 0.627352 1.366923 3.107148 7.214202 18.327942
2026-07-05 0.139856 0.290812 0.607257 1.348548 3.130977 7.438540 19.415533